Want to Read. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. dr ali binazir odds of being born. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. Onward to freedom! And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Even if they couldn't read them yet. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner In other words, as this infographic figures it,. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Step 2. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Based on the data from the CDC . Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. I hope you use your chance well. dr ali binazir odds of being born The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. But lets make it longer. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Are You a Miracle? The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Then the probability of Mr. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Which one's bigger? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. One in 2,000. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Now things start getting interesting. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? What are the odds of that? So whats the probability of your existing? Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. On one try. Same to all of us. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. 7 distinct works Similar authors. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. saving. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Just go have some fucking fun! So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Probability is a pure odd. Scripture says. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Step 3. June 24, 2022 . Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. Dr. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. June 5. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Are they gross exaggerations? The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. On one try. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. You have lived your life. Maybe that one would have been better. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Opportunity - livebendy.com But Im not mathy. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. Step 1. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. This includes personalizing content and advertising. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? So what's the probability of your being born? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. I would call that a personal relationship with God. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. They agree to within a factor of two! And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Is that an African fly or a European one? Thats a pretty good trip. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Please pass this post along. Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com what are the chances of being born in america As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Your email address will not be published. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years.